FEATURE Articles

How Binay became the surprise of the 2010 elections
By ELLEN TORDESILLAS (VERA FILES) and YOUTHVOTEPHILIPPINES
Whatever the final outcome of the tightly contested vice presidential race, Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay has made history by being the first local official to be possibly catapulted to a top national position, just a breath away from the presidency. Unlike another former mayor, Joseph Estrada, Binay bypassed Congress in his quest for a top post.
But Binay’s journey from being a far third at the start of the campaign to becoming the frontrunner in the national canvassing does not surprise fellow mayors and other local executives who say he prepared for it long ago. The Makati mayor made smart use of vast resources and backed these up with an underground operation that included an in-your-face infiltration of a rival political organization.
The latest count by the Senate and House of Representatives acting as National Board of Canvassers shows the Liberal Party’s Benigno “Noynoy" Aquino III with a commanding lead of 5.5 million votes over former president Joseph Estrada of Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino.
But the vice presidential race is still too close to call with the PMP’s Binay posting 14,084,879 votes against the 13,440,127 votes of LP’s Manuel “Mar" Roxas.
Binay leads by 644,752 with some 1.4 million votes still to be canvassed.
This cliffhanger finale to the 2010 elections was unthinkable at the start of the campaign period when Aquino and Roxas topped the Social Weather Stations’ December 2009 survey with 40-percent of respondents’ approval. Loren Legarda of the Nacionalista Party was a distant second with 32 percent, and Binay trailed far behind with 10 percent.
But research by VERA Files reveal Binay is now merely reaping the rewards of a nationwide network laid out nearly two decades ago when he launched a sister-city program linking Makati with other local government units.
With a P12-billion annual budget, Binay’s Makati could afford to be generous. Since the early 1990s, Makati has forged sisterhood ties with more than 200 municipalities and cities all over the country, advising them on public management, subsidizing computerization training of municipal government employees, providing computer equipment, giving scholarships to poor students from the provinces in Makati City schools, and making available the city’s modern medical facilities.
Binay is also known to be quick in giving at least P50 million in financial assistance to a sister municipality in need, such as in times of calamity.
In his visit to Catbalogan, Samar in March 2009, Binay told reporters that Makati’s sisterhood program had nothing to do with his announced plan to run for president. “Aside from extending assistance and goodwill to other cities and municipalities, the sisterhood is also a good way for LGUs to exchange ideas and best practices on governance," he said.
Binay had initially aimed for the presidency, refusing invitations from the Liberal Party to join its senatorial ticket, saying that his expertise is as an executive and not as a legislator. He only slid down to the vice-presidency when Estrada decided to run for president.
The Makati mayor gained valuable exposure to the masses in provincial sorties with the popular Estrada. Sources knowledgeable about the Estrada campaign said Binay underwrote the bulk of the PMP campaign expenses.
Binay solidified his linkages with LGUs with his friendship with 78 other city mayors who compose the League of Cities of the Philippines. This is best shown in Metro Manila’s results where the winning team was Aquino-Binay.
The SWS exit poll showed Binay’s support cutting across party lines. The majority of supporters of NP’s Manuel Villar, Lakas-Kampi-CMD’s Gilbert Teodoro and other presidential candidates had him as vice president.
A source close to one of the Metro Manila mayors said Binay campaigned only for himself with his fellow city mayors, telling them he understood their commitment to another presidential candidate. Estrada showed his displeasure by leaving blank the slot for vice president in his ballot, which was captured on camera on May 10.
Another national organization that Binay cultivated through the years was the Boy Scouts of the Philippines and its allied fraternity, the Alpha Phi Omega.
People made fun of the diminutive mayor looking like an over-aged boy in his Boy Scout uniform. But what many didn’t realize was that whenever Binay donned those khaki shorts, he was re-affirming his ties with the 3.5 million members of the organization and establishing a connection with their parents and other family members.
While Binay’s low-key building of national networks would make a good study of effective campaign strategy, his masterstroke was the infiltration of Aquino’s campaign organization.
“There’s no way that Mar (Roxas) could have won with the betrayal from within their campaign organization," a veteran journalist remarked, sharing his conversation with Aquino’s campaign manager Florencio “Butch" Abad, who was concerned about the activities of the Noynoy Aquino for President Movement.
NAPM is headed by Ed Roces, son of the late Joaquin “Chino" Roces, founder and publisher of The Manila Times who was responsible for convincing the late Cory Aquino to challenge Ferdinand Marcos for the presidency in 1986.
Abad, the journalist source said, was disturbed that NAPM was campaigning for a Noynoy-Binay ticket from its campaign headquarters in Parc House Building along EDSA, just two floors above the LP office.
It was not only NAPM that was campaigning for a Noy-Bi ticket among Aquino’s supporters. There was the “Yellow Force" reportedly headed by Mikee Cojuangco-Jaworski, daughter of Aquino’s brother Jose “Peping" Cojuangco, the gay organization “Ang Ladlad," the People’s Patriotic Movement, and Council for Philippine Affairs.
Friends of COPA leader Pastor “Boy" Saycon speak of a roomful of Noy-Bi materials when visiting his Makati office. COPA includes Peping Cojuangco and his wife, Margarita, and Philippine Star columnist Billy Esposo.
Other Aquino relatives campaigning for Noy-Bi were Jose Maria “Boy" Montelibano and his wife Maria, who headed Radio-TV Malacañang when Cory Aquino was president and who was active in Noynoy’s presidential campaign.
Boy Montelibano, in his column in Inquirer online, said Roxas has only himself to blame for his defeat: “It (a Binay victory) has caused allegedly well-bred people to cross lines of decency and engage in gutter behavior in blaming others for what cannot be but a serious error of the core of Mar Roxas’s campaign. For a candidate to lose a lead of over 30 percent in three months without realizing it until the last moment is a classic case of political ineptness. The inept, therefore, have to put the blame on others, a usual human tendency. “
Campaign strategist Malou Tiquia of Publicus, who helped Roxas’ senatorial campaign in 2004, has a similar observation, although put in gentler terms. “Mar was too complacent. This is not the Mar of 2004 who was well-prepared with a good message, organized ground troops and an air war with a storyline strategy."
“My reading of him was he was too burned-out after sliding down to number two, and my sense was he was banking on the ‘sacrifice’ to get the home run," Tiquia added. Roxas, who had been nurturing his own presidential ambition for years, gave way so that Noynoy could become LP standard-bearer, amid the public clamor in the weeks after Cory’s death in August.
Tiquia noted that Roxas’s ads did not “embrace" Aquino’s anti-corruption theme and that he was not able to communicate what a vice president can do. “He was more of Mr. Palengke than a partner of Noy," she said.
Since sliding down to vice president, Roxas had consistently maintained a commanding
lead over his then closest rival, Legarda, until polls showed Binay catching up in April.
And then there was Sen. Francis “Chiz" Escudero who withdrew from the presidential race in November 2009 and then announced he would be supporting Binay for vice president. Escudero and Binay worked together in Fernando Poe Jr.’s presidential campaign in 2004. Escudero did not immediately announce whom he was supporting for president.
In February, when Aquino’s rating was declining and Villar was catching up with him, Aquino revamped his campaign organization and brought in Escudero, whose team handled media operations. They are believed responsible for the exposés against Villar that paved the way for an Aquino surge.
In April, Escudero, while managing the Aquino campaign’s media operations, came out with TV ads endorsing Binay for vice president. The next surveys after the endorsement had Binay slightly ahead of Roxas.
Tiquia does not credit Binay’s surge to Escuderos’ endorsement. “Binay was already on the rise when it came out," she said. “What it perhaps did was to raise the ante. The timing of the endorsement created that kick to the end game."
University of the Philippines political science professor Miriam Coronel-Ferrer agreed with Tiquia. “The vaunted appeal of ‘NoyBi’ is a myth. Let’s not give too much credit to Chiz Escudero, Ang Ladlad, and the faction of the Coryistas who supported Binay," she said.
Ferrer did an analysis of votes based on figures from the electronic data maps prepared by Cybersoft GeoInfomatics for the Philippine Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting. The running tallies were computed from about 90 percent of election returns.
“Aquino and Roxas dominated all other tandems in terms of sheer number of votes," said Ferrer. “NoyBi is leading in eight or majority of the regions, but contrary to what most people think, Binay benefitted primarily from being Estrada’s running mate and only in a small way from the NoyBi vote configuration."
Ferrer pointed out that Aquino and Roxas led the race in Western and Central Visayas and the Caraga regions, while Estrada and Binay prevailed in Cagayan Valley, Northern Mindanao, Davao and Socsksargen.
“Assuming all Erap supporters also voted for Binay, about 8.7 million of his votes can be accounted for. But he has about five million more votes than Erap," she said.
Ferrer said the gap between the votes of Teodoro and his running mate, Eduardo Manzano, was a possible source for about 2.9 million votes for Binay. “A secondary source is the 1.2 million more people who voted for Villar but not for Loren," she said
“Binay should thank Gibo’s and Villar’s supporters instead," Ferrer said.
What makes this year’s intrigue-ridden vice presidential race interesting, however, goes beyond the results of this election. It could be a preview of the 2016 presidential contest. - VERA Files
(VERA Files is put out by veteran journalists taking a deeper look into current issues. Vera is Latin for “true.")

More than survey figures
STRAWS IN THE WIND
By Eladio Dioko - April 08, 2010
As the day of political reckoning nears survey outfits are churning out more frequently the outcomes of their alleged studies. I said alleged because some of these entities have been identified with certain presidentiables, which explains why their figures could be tainted with subjectivity. Besides, to conduct an honest-to-goodness opinionaire is expensive, and who do you think are the possible source of funds?
Even assuming that the survey proponent is unbiased there's no guarantee that the results are acceptable. Anyone with a modicum of schooling knows that acceptability of survey can be affected by faulty sampling of respondents. If, for example, the number of people asked in selected age brackets is not evenly distributed, the outcome can be skewed. Or if there are differences in the occupational distribution of respondents the same faulty data can be arrived at.
Sampling is only one aspect that can affect an opinion study. Other factors such as the way the questions were stated, the manner these were asked, the occasion when inquiries were made, the reputation of the target individuals, and the like can also influence the reliability and validity of a study.
This is not to say that poll surveys are unreliable. To a certain extent they do show the status of one's candidacy. But winning or losing in an election can also be traced to factors other than survey profiles.
One such factor is the support of local power wielders such as barangay captains, ward leaders, heads of socio-civic and religious bodies, proprietors of commercial or industrial entities, and even the hilots. On top of these are of course the town mayors and the members of the sangguniang bayan each of whom is an authority figure in his own bailiwick. These people actually call the shots on election day, more so with regard to the rank and file electors.
Here's the usual scenario: A day or two before election ward leaders (usually known as coordinators) and supporters meet with the barangay captain to plot out their moves. In this gathering envelopes containing the "pahalipay" from the party are given out, the amount depending upon the option of the party leadership and the probity of the barangay head. If the latter is a fair-minded guy the giveaway would be substantial, otherwise only a pittance would be left for distribution.
Nevertheless, allegiance is unaffected because other benefits such as a free lunch and transport services to and from the precincts are provided for. More than these there's the jovial fellowship among peers as they party on balbacua, lechon or kalderita made more appetizing with tuba or beer. One solid klatch of voters - to whom will their votes go but to their amo's candidates?
Vote buying? Some call it so. But the Filipino is not selling his vote. He is just trying to please his amo and his cohorts of friends and neighbors. Their acceptance of his person is crucial to keeping his ego intact. Besides, when election fever is over, whom would he run to for help in times of crisis but to his authority figure and barkadas?
Some observers say all you have to do to win a Filipino's option is dangle a few bills before his eyes. Actually, it's not as simple as that. One has to befriend him first or at least get himself accepted by him before his money will work. A neophyte of a candidate for congress
tried this once and ended up frustrated. What happened was that on election day he shelled out millions of pesos to wow the voters to his cause. Thousands did open their palms but when the votes were counted only a few hundreds got chalked under his name. Kopras is the name of the game here. Money is offered and accepted, but the voter's choice remains unchanged.
No siree, the Filipino, no matter how poor he is, is not without pride. One can't buy his conscience just like that and get away with it. Material goods are important, but more important is his sense of personhood.
Give him both and you get his vote, survey or no survey.
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Pacquiao marches on as true star of boxing
By Tim Dahlberg, AP Sports Columnist
ARLINGTON, Texas (AP)—The fight was long over and most of the biggest crowd to see a fight in the U.S. in 17 years had found their way out of massive Cowboys Stadium. Manny Pacquiao was in the shower, where one member of his entourage surely was in charge of selecting his shampoo while another had the task of making sure the towels were just right.

Pacquiao had easily disposed of a timid Joshua Clottey, and now he had a concert to perform. He finally emerged in an argyle sweater that would have looked better on the golf course and sunglasses more suited for the beach, with the entourage swelling about him, each jockeying for position in case he could be the lucky one chosen to fluff Pacman’s rice for him.
There was only a few minutes to talk about Floyd Mayweather Jr. and next month’s run for congress in the Philippines. The postfight party awaited, and once more the star was ready to perform.
“The first song I’m going to sing is `La Bamba,”’ Pacquiao said.
It’s a good time to be Manny Pacquiao, and Texas proved to be a good host to the hottest fighter around. Nearly 51,000 made their way into the edifice built by Jerry Jones to watch him fight Saturday night and few seemed to leave disappointed, even if Clottey’s reluctance to mix it up deprived them of a spectacular fight.
The win was about as easy as they come, with Pacquiao capturing every round on one judge’s scorecard and all but one on the other two. By the time they count all the pay-per-view receipts he’ll probably head home at least $15 million richer, and he didn’t have to put up with Mayweather’s antics to make another huge payday.
The fight that never was may still happen, perhaps in November, perhaps at Cowboys Stadium. Pacquiao made it clear he still wants it, and both his trainer and promoter seem to want it even more badly than the fighter himself.
“We will crush him,” trainer Freddie Roach said.
It wasn’t an idle boast, and it wasn’t a way to hype the fight because it 
doesn’t need hyping. Before it fell apart over Mayweather’s insistence on blood testing, the bout was supposed to have taken place Saturday night and likely would have been the richest ever in boxing.
But Mayweather must first now get past a fight of his own, a May 1 bout against Shane Mosley that may be his toughest yet. And promoter Bob Arum made it clear that there will be no negotiations this time around about any sort of blood testing no matter how much Mayweather might try to raise the point.
“That was a stupid mistake I made by playing Neville Chamberlain and negotiating this issue,” Arum said, drawing an analogy that only a boxing promoter could. “You don’t negotiate. You don’t appease. Chamberlain negotiated with Hitler on Munich and look what happened.”
History lesson aside, there clearly isn’t any need for Pacquiao’s camp to bend on the issue. Any thought that Mayweather diminished his popularity when he insinuated Pacquiao must be juiced to have won titles from 112 to 147 pounds evaporated when they opened the doors at Cowboys Stadium and throngs of people poured in hours early for the party.
And a party was what it was, despite Clottey’s attempt to preserve his boxing future by spending long stretches of time in the ring holding his gloves in a peek-a-boo style to avoid getting hit. Pacquiao did the best he could to force the issue, throwing punch after punch after punch—more than 1,200 in all — but if a fighter goes into the ring just to survive the odds are good he will do just that.
Someone who managed to get a microphone at the postfight press conference congratulated Clottey for making it through 12 rounds, and asked him what his secret for success was.
“Manny Pacquiao is beating everybody,” Clottey said. “He’s knocking them out. I have to do what I can and I think I did my best.”
Arum didn’t seem to mind that he had just paid someone $2 million to go into a shell. This was a party, after all, and the fight was secondary.
`What was he supposed to do?” Arum said. “If he played offense he’d get knocked out.”
This was a freebie for Pacquiao, and one he had probably earned. It’s hard to blame him for having an opponent just trying to stay upright, not after what he did to Oscar De La Hoya, Ricky Hatton and Miguel Cotto in his previous three fights.
This, apparently, is what it has come to with Pacman. No longer just content to beat fighters he’s now a 145 3/4 pounds of sheer intimidation, kind of a junior Mike Tyson who takes on his business with a smile instead of a scowl.
He’s so good that a very good and veteran practicer of the sweet science decided that it was better to survive intact than go down in a blaze of glory. So good that there wouldn’t be any question about his place on boxing’s hierarchy if there wasn’t this annoyance named Floyd Mayweather.
So good that the only worry in his camp is that he will actually win a seat in congress back home and not fight anymore.
“He’s probably going to win the election,” Arum said. “But that’s all right because if their congress is anything like ours, they don’t do anything anyway.”
The glow of his latest win had even his tough guy trainer speaking fondly about the fighter he has helped transform a tough sport.
“I’m just happy to be a part of Manny Pacquiao’s life,” Roach said.
He’s not alone. Just ask the guy lucky enough to be chosen to fluff his rice.
Tim Dahlberg is a national sports columnist for The Associated Press. Write to him at tdahlberg(at)ap.org
Maybe ...
Maybe. . .we were supposed to meet the wrong people before meeting the right one so that, when we finally meet the right person, we will know how to be grateful for that gift.
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Maybe . . . when the door of happiness closes, another opens; but, often times, we look so long at the closed door that we don’t even see the new one which has been opened for us.
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Maybe . . . it is true that we don’t know what we have until we lose it, but it is also true that we don’t know what we have been missing until it arrives.
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Maybe . . . the happiest of people don’t necessarily have the best of everything; they just make the most of everything that comes along their way.
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Maybe . . . the brightest future will always be based on a forgotten past; after all, you can’t go on successfully in life until you let go of your past mistakes, failures and heartaches.
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Maybe . . . you should dream what you want to dream; go where you want to go, be what you want to be, because you have only one life and one chance to do all the things you dream of, and want to do.
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Maybe . . . there are moments in life when you miss someone — a parent, a spouse, a friend, a child — so much that you just want to pick them from your dreams and hug them for real, so that once they are around you appreciate them more.
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Maybe . . . the best kind of friend is the kind you can sit on a porch and swing with, never say a word, and then walk away feeling like it was the best conversation you’ve ever had.
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Maybe . . you should always try to put yourself in others’ shoes. If you feel that something could hurt you, it probably will hurt the other person, too.
Maybe . . you should do something nice for someone every single day, even if it is simply to leave them alone.
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Maybe . . . giving someone all your love is never an assurance that they will love you back. Don’t expect love in return; just wait for it to grow in their heart; but, if it doesn’t, be content that it grew in yours.
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Maybe . . . happiness waits for all those who cry, all those who hurt, all those who have searched, and all those who have tried, for only they can appreciate the importance of all the people who have touched their lives.
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Maybe . . . you shouldn’t go for looks; they can deceive; don’t go for wealth; even that fades away. Go for someone who makes you smile, because it takes only a smile to make a dark day seem bright. Find the one that makes your heart smile.
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Maybe . . you should hope for enough happiness to make you sweet, enough trials to make you strong, enough sorrow to keep you human, and enough hope to make you happy.
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Maybe . . . you should try to live your life to the fullest because when you were born, you were crying and everyone around you was smiling but when you die, you can be the one who is smiling and everyone around you crying.
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Maybe . . . you could send this message to those people who mean something to you, to those who have touched your life, to those who can and do make you smile when you really need it, to those who make you see the brighter side of things when you are really down, and to all those whom you want to know that you appreciate them and their friendship.
And if you don’t, don’t worry; nothing bad will happen to you.
© Author Unknown
